Izvestiya of Saratov University.

Sociology. Politology

ISSN 1818-9601 (Print)
ISSN 2541-8998 (Online)


For citation:

Федоров В. И. The impact of voter turnout on the legitimacy of presidential elections in the worldwide. Journal Izvestiya of Saratov University. Sociology. Politology, 2024, vol. 24, iss. 2, pp. 201-207. DOI: 10.18500/1818-9601-2024-24-2-201-207, EDN: AKKOYS

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC-BY 4.0).
Full text PDF(Ru):
Language: 
Russian
Article type: 
Article
UDC: 
324
EDN: 
AKKOYS

The impact of voter turnout on the legitimacy of presidential elections in the worldwide

Autors: 
Федоров Владислав Иванович, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation
Abstract: 

This paper reveals the impact of voter turnout on the legitimacy of presidential elections based on the materials of 20 largest states holding such elections in terms of the number of voters. In March 2024, presidential elections were held in Russia and in November elections are scheduled in the United States, the outcome of which will have an impact on the domestic and foreign policies of these states. The author has tested the hypothesis that in most cases, for the existing political regime in countries where subject and patriarchal political cultures are widespread, high voter turnout acts as a donor of legitimacy, therefore, the authorities seek to involve the maximum number of voters in conventional political participation in presidential elections and ensure victory for the person holding the offi ce of president (incumbent). In countries where the political culture of participation has become more widespread, the competition of strong candidates is a source of legitimacy for political regimes that do not seek to mobilize all voters to participate in presidential elections and are most often unable to ensure the re-election of the incumbent. Based on the analysis of electoral statistics of presidential elections in the studied states, it was concluded that high electoral activity in countries with a predominance of national and patriarchal political cultures, even if there is no real competition between candidates, but with broad public recognition of the existing political regime, ensures the legitimacy of elections. In countries where political culture of participation has become more widespread, high turnout is a consequence of interest in elections, and not the result of the mobilization of the electorate by the political regime. Examples are Turkey and France, where the last presidential elections were held with high turnout and competition between the two most popular candidates; low electoral activity in the presidential elections is a prerequisite for the subsequent political crisis and dismantling of the political regime (Afghanistan, Nigeria). Acceptable level of voter turnout in the presidential elections, which can act as an indicator of their legitimacy, is about 60–66%. 

Reference: 
  1. Митин Г. Н. Легитимность и легальность: Актуальные вопросы избирательного права в практике выборов Президента России. М. : Ленанд, 2022. 146 с.
  2. Мельвиль А. Ю. Политический атлас современности: Опыт многомерного статистического анализа политических систем современных государств. М. : Изд-во «МГИМО–Университет», 2007. 272 с.
  3. Мельвиль А. Ю., Миронюк М. Г. «Политический атлас современности» revisited // Полис. Политические исследования. 2020. № 6. С. 41–61. https://doi. org/10.17976/jpps/2020.06.04
  4. Мельвиль А. Ю., Мальгин А. В., Миронюк М. Г., Стукал Д. К. «Политический атлас современного мира 2.0»: к постановке исследовательской задачи // Полис. Политические исследования. 2023. № 2. С. 72–87. https://doi.org/10.17976/jpps/2023.02.06
  5. Ахременко А. С., Петров А. П. Гнев, идентичность или вера в успех? Динамика мотивации и участия в белорусских протестах 2020 года // Полис. Политические исследования. 2023. № 2. С. 138–153. https:// doi.org/10.17976/jpps/2023.02.10
  6. Единый федеральный список организаций, в том числе иностранных и международных организаций, признанных в соответствии с законодательством Российской Федерации террористическими // ФСБ России. URL: http://www.fsb.ru/fsb/npd/terror. htm (дата обращения: 20.01.2024).
  7. Обращение Президента Российской Федерации // Президент России. URL: http://www.kremlin.ru/ events/president/transcripts/speeches/67843 (дата обращения: 24.01.2024).
  8. Парма Р. В. Продвижение патриотической повестки в социальных медиа среди российской студенческой молоджи // Высшее образование в России. 2024. Т. 33, № 1. С. 44–67. https://doi.org/10.31992/0869- 3617-2024-33-1-44-67
  9. Жданов А. И., Коротаев А. В. Выборы, тип режима и риски революционной дестабилизации: опыт количественного анализа // Социология власти. 2022. Т. 34, № 3–4. С. 102–127. https://doi.org/10.22394/2074- 0492-2022-4-102-127
  10. Коротаев А. В., Новиков К. Е., Шульгин С. Г. Ценности пожилых в стареющем мире // Социология власти. 2019. Т. 31, № 1. С. 114–142. https://doi.org/10.22394/2074-0492-2019-1-114-142, EDN: PGPSLB
  11. Федоров В. И. Электронное голосование как сеть коммуникаций между государством и обществом // Вестник Московского государственного областного университета (электронныйжурнал). 2022. № 4. URL: www.evestnik-mgou.ru, https://doi.org/10.18384/2224- 0209- 2022-4-1208
  12. Баранов Н. А. От недоверия – к легитимации: трудный путь цифровых электоральных технологий на примере России // Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Политология. 2022. Т. 24, № 3. С. 433–446. https://doi.org/10.22363/2313-1438-2022-24-3-433-446
Received: 
30.01.2024
Accepted: 
12.02.2024
Available online: 
31.05.2024
Short text (in English):